On November 4th, according to the latest poll conducted in the "Pale Red State" of Iowa by the Des Moines Register, Vice President Harris leads former President Trump with 47% to 44% among potential voters.

On November 4th, according to The New York Times, the competition between Democratic presidential candidate Harris and Republican presidential candidate Trump remains fierce in seven battleground states. Harris is slightly ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump is slightly ahead in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. The overall national support rate is Harris (49%) and Trump (48%).

 a survey conducted by The New York Times and Siena College shows that as the US presidential election approaches, the competition between Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump in key swing states has reached a stalemate. Currently, Harris is slightly ahead of Trump in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, while Trump maintains an advantage in Arizona and has erased Harris's lead in Pennsylvania.

based on the monitoring of on-chain analyst Yu Jin, with the upcoming US election, a whale is bullish on Harris winning the election: in the past 11 hours, he has bet 5 million USDC on Harris winning on Polymarket.

starting today (November 3), daylight saving time will be implemented in North America. Trading hours for financial markets (gold, silver, US oil, US stocks, etc.) and the release time of economic data in the United States and Canada will be delayed by one hour compared to daylight saving time. Please take note.

today's Panic and Greed Index is 70, and the level is still Greed. Note: The Panic Index threshold is 0-100, including indicators such as volatility (25%) + market trading volume (25%) + social media popularity (15%) + market surveys (15%) + the proportion of Bitcoin in the entire market (10%) + Google keyword analysis (10%).

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, after 8 months of silence, a whale deposited 22.22 million GRT (worth $3.03 million) into Coinbase 2 hours ago. If sold, it will result in a loss of $6.72 million. 8 months ago, the whale withdrew these GRT from Coinbase, which were worth $9.75 million at the time.

According to mempool data, Golden Finance reported that miners dug out empty blocks (blocks that only contain the block reward Coinbase transaction) at Bitcoin height 868664, with a time interval of only 42 seconds from the previous block height. Miners package empty blocks for economic reasons, which is the wisest choice for them. In order to fully utilize this time for mining and avoid conflicts with transactions packaged in the parent block, miners cannot fill the block with transactions, which means they can only try to mine empty blocks.

According to DefiLlama data, the total market value of stablecoins has grown by 0.38% in the past week, now reaching 173.117 billion US dollars, close to the highest level since May 2022 (i.e. 173.145 billion US dollars on October 6). Among them, the total market value of USDT has increased by 0.3%, now reaching 120.441 billion US dollars, with a market share of 69.62%.

cryptocurrency analyst PlanB stated on social media, "Bitcoin's October closing price was $70,231, slightly lower than March's monthly closing price of $71,285. Be prepared for the US election."

 Microsoft has officially announced that it will terminate support services for Windows 10 on October 14, 2025 and strongly recommends that users migrate to Windows 11 system as soon as possible. Microsoft stated that starting from October 14, 2025, Windows 10 will no longer receive security updates, and continuing to use it will face constantly evolving and adjusted malicious threats, which pose security risks. Microsoft stated that users can first check if their current Windows 10 PC can be upgraded to Windows 11, or consider purchasing a new, more secure PC.

Paul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer of Coinbase, accused the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) of taking secret actions to suppress the cryptocurrency industry. Grewal claimed that documents obtained through the Freedom of Information Act showed a series of so-called suspension letters. Allegedly, in these letters, the FDIC instructed banks to delay or stop providing services to cryptocurrency companies. He described these letters as "shameful examples of US government agencies trying to cut off the financial channels of law-abiding American companies" and pointed out that the FDIC unfairly targeted legitimate cryptocurrency companies, restricting their access to banking services. Documents shared by Coinbase showed that FDIC officials urged banks to avoid launching or expanding cryptocurrency-related services due to concerns about security, stability, and potential consumer risks. In each case, the FDIC requested that banks wait until further review was completed - a process that Coinbase believes sets unfair barriers for cryptocurrency companies.

According to Farside Investors data, this week's cumulative net inflow of US Bitcoin spot ETF was 2.2202 billion US dollars, of which: BlackRock IBIT: +2.1489 billion US dollars; Fidelity FBTC: +89.8 million US dollars.

according to official sources, Paxos announced that it is expected to release the first attestation report for the Singapore compliant stablecoin USDG, which is launched in partnership with DBS Bank, this month (November 2024). Paxos stated that the attestation report is expected to be issued by the independent third-party accounting firm Enrome LLP, and the review will be conducted in accordance with the standards set by the Institute of Singapore Chartered Accountants. It is reported that Paxos will subsequently release proof reports every month, aiming to establish community trust and ensure complete transparency and reliability of financial data.

 Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po published a blog post stating that his delegation had achieved fruitful results during their visit to Riyadh, Saudi Arabia last week. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia (PIF) signed a memorandum of understanding to jointly establish a $1 billion investment fund, which will invest in Hong Kong and Greater Bay Area enterprises in the fields of manufacturing, renewable energy, fintech, and healthcare in Saudi Arabia. In addition, a fintech company from Hong Kong Cyberport signed a commercial agreement with local partners.

according to an analysis by the Hong Kong Economic Daily, Bitcoin recently broke through and is expected to reach a historic high in speculation about the potential results of the US election. The correlation between the price of Bitcoin and the inflow of funds is expected to further increase, and liquidity will become an increasingly important price driver. Last week, global funds poured into the US market's Bitcoin spot trading fund, betting on Trump's victory in the US election, and his support for Bitcoin was seen as a "Trump trade". The market expects the size of the US Bitcoin ETF to double by 2025 and quadruple by 2027. As for Hong Kong investment options involving Bitcoin, we will have to wait and see.

The Fed has yet to declare victory in its fight against inflation, but policymakers have shifted some of their attention to the biggest part of their dual mandate, employment. "The October nonfarm payrolls will be an important confirmation or negation of the stronger September data, but may not be enough to shift market attention back to the risk of a U.S. recession," Citi economist Veronica Clark said in a recent report, "However, the October data will reflect the impact of the ongoing Boeing strike and hurricanes. Clark estimates that these factors will reduce employment by 70,000 to 80,000. Citi's view on nonfarm payrolls is milder than generally expected, with an increase of 90,000 and a small increase in the unemployment rate to 4.23%. In addition, Citi said that any downward revision to the September data may be more significant than usual.

UBS (UBS.N) said it has launched the first tokenized investment fund.

US Vice President Harris will deliver a speech at a campaign event in Wisconsin at 14:40 local time (3:40 a.m. Beijing time the next day).

According to Lookonchain monitoring, ACT developers spent 4 SOL to buy 126 million ACT, and sold 52.4 million ACT for 7,455 SOL ($1.25 million) through multiple wallets, making a profit of $1.25 million. ACT developers still hold 21 million ACT ($630,000), so be wary of another potential sell-off.