2025-11-24 08:56 Monday
Analysis: Extreme Narrative Predicting the Imminent Burst of the "AI Bubble" Expected to Be Unfounded

November 24th. According to a CITIC Securities research report, the stock market downturn on November 20th was judged to be driven by macro factors, rather than panic selling triggered by the bursting of an AI bubble. The main reason for this pullback was the September non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations, combined with hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, which led to profit-taking in the market. In light of the marginal weakening of the US labor market, the December Fed interest rate meeting may mark the peak of the "hawkish panic" sentiment, after which the market's focus may shift to the nomination game around the new Fed chairman appointed by President Trump.The fundamental outlook of the AI sector remains solid, with Token index-level growth, ongoing supply chain bottlenecks, strong cash flow from the four tech giants, and a robust balance sheet. It is expected that the extreme narrative of the "AI bubble" bursting in the short term will be difficult to materialize. (FX678)

2025-11-24 08:54 Monday
CEX Net Outflow of 211,000 ETH in the Last 7 Days

November 24th, according to Coinglass data, in the past 7 days, CEX's total net outflow of Ethereum was 211,000 ETH, with the top three outflow amounts from CEX as follows:· Coinbase Pro, outflow of 220,300 ETH;· Kraken, outflow of 110,600 ETH;· Gemini, outflow of 31,800 ETH.In addition, Binance had an inflow of 99,600 ETH, ranking first in the inflow list.

2025-11-24 08:51 Monday
The 1inch team recently acquired over 26 million 1INCH tokens at an average price of $0.184.

November 24th, according to AI She monitoring, the 1inch team's recent two-day increase in 1INCH holdings has grown to $4.785 million, with an average cost of $0.184.In the past 14 hours, the 1inch Team Investment Fund address once again withdrew 20 million tokens from Binance at an average price of $0.1856, worth approximately $3.713 million. The total number of tokens held has now been updated to 111 million, valued at $20.34 million.Two days ago, the 1inch Team Investment Fund withdrew 6.01 million 1INCH tokens from Binance, worth $1.072 million, at an average withdrawal price of $0.1785.

2025-11-24 08:37 Monday
A Whale Sells Over 32,000 SOL, incurring a $2.04 Million Loss

November 24th, according to lookonchain monitoring, Whale GJwCUj sold 32,195 SOL ($4.18 million)—these were positions he bought and staked 10 months ago, resulting in a $2.04 million loss this time.2 years ago, this whale bought 400,000 SOL at an average price of $89 ($35.7 million) and staked them. In less than two months, the whale sold at $108, making a profit of $8.15 million. However, after the sale, SOL continued to surge. If the whale had held until the peak, the profit would have exceeded $82 million.

2025-11-24 08:31 Monday
The address has averaged $31.57 to accumulate over 200,000 HYPE tokens.

November 24th, according to AI Auntie's monitoring, address 0x7fe...17ac6 is currently accumulating a large amount of HYPE. In the past 24 hours, they have built up a HYPE position worth $6.585 million and are currently unrealized loss of about $40,000, with an average cost of approximately $31.57 per HYPE. Currently, they have a limit buy order of $[28.04-$31.475] per HYPE for $3.75 million that has not been filled yet. If all bought, their holdings will exceed $10 million.

2025-11-24 08:27 Monday
Bitcoin Briefly Dips Below $86,000

November 24th, according to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $86,000, currently trading at $86,384, with a 24-hour gain narrowed to 1.43%.

2025-11-24 08:23 Monday
Past 7-day CEX Net Outflow of 29,194.49 BTC

November 24th, according to Coinglass data, in the past 7 days, CEX has seen a total net outflow of 29,194.49 BTC. The top three CEXs in terms of outflow volume are as follows:· Bitmex, with an outflow of 32,226.13 BTC;· Coinbase Pro, with an outflow of 25,792.54 BTC;· Gemini, with an outflow of 2,714.25 BTC.In addition, Binance saw an inflow of 16,353.35 BTC, ranking first in the inflow list.

2025-11-24 08:15 Monday
Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index Rises to 19, Market Still in "Extreme Fear" State

November 24th, according to Alternative Data, today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index has risen to 19 (from 13 yesterday), with a weekly average of 14, indicating that market sentiment is still in a "extreme fear" state.Note: The Fear and Greed Index has a threshold of 0-100 and includes the following indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Volume (25%) + Social Media Hype (15%) + Market Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin Dominance (10%) + Google Trends Analysis (10%).

2025-11-24 08:02 Monday
The probability of a 25 basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 69.4%.

November 24th, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December is 69.4%, with a probability of rates staying unchanged at 30.6%.The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by January next year is 56.9%, with a probability of rates staying unchanged at 20.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 22.3%. (FXStreet)

2025-11-24 07:58 Monday
The United States Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been disbanded, originally slated to operate until July 2026.

November 24th. After taking office in January, US President Trump vigorously established the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to reduce the size of the government. Although the department still had eight months left in its term, it has already been dissolved.When asked about the current status of the Department of Government Efficiency, US Office of Personnel Management Director Cooper said: "It simply does not exist." Cooper added that the Department of Government Efficiency is no longer a "centralized institution." This is the first time the Trump administration has confirmed the dissolution of the Department of Government Efficiency.This Musk-led institution, established in January of this year, carried out a sweeping reform of Washington, rapidly reducing the size of federal agencies, cutting their budgets, or shifting their focus to Trump's priorities. According to executive orders signed by Trump after taking office, the Department of Government Efficiency was supposed to operate until July 2026. (FX678)

2025-11-24 07:55 Monday
In the past 24 hours, the total net liquidation across the network was $213 million, with the primary liquidated position being a short.

November 24th, according to Coinglass data, the total liquidation in the past 24 hours was $213 million, with $76.325 million in long liquidations and $136 million in short liquidations.In the past 24 hours, a total of 112,820 people were liquidated globally, with the largest single liquidation occurring on OKX - BTC-USDT-SWAP, totaling $2.5873 million.

2025-11-24 07:51 Monday
Vitalik: X Platform's "Display Account Country" Feature Will Only Have a Short-Term Positive Effect

November 24th, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin shared in a post regarding the prediction of the "Displaying Account Country" feature:In the short term, it will bring about many positive effects.In the medium term, experienced players will find ways to disguise themselves as being from a different country. There are countless methods to rent someone else's passport, phone number, IP address, and so on. It would be somewhat difficult to fake 1 million accounts with fake locations, but it would be very easy to fake one account with a false location and then operate it to 1 million followers.Six months later, those political water army accounts that are actually located in a random Eurasian country but operate under names like "Defenders of Western Civilization" will most likely change their location tags to "USA" or "UK."(The above is what I think will happen, not what I hope to see. What I hope for is:(i) We can truly see different communities' views on different topics, and this is not an easily forgeable signal.(ii) These "communities" are not just highly identifiable narrow labels such as countries or educational backgrounds but a more widespread, spontaneous, multi-source evidence-based structure.However, I believe that it is very difficult to keep such a system robust in an adversarial environment.)Upon further reflection, I also agree with the points made by the respondents: it is inappropriate to display a user's country without their consent and without providing any opt-out option (even without a "disable account" last resort option). In most cases, displaying country information will still maintain a large anonymous set, but there are indeed some people for whom even a few bits of data leakage are very dangerous. They should not be unilaterally deprived of privacy by the platform without any remedy.

2025-11-24 07:44 Monday
Bitcoin Surges Above $88,000 This Morning Before Retreating

November 24th, according to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly surged above $88,000 this morning before falling back, now trading at $86,861, with a 24-hour gain narrowed to 2.44%.

2025-11-24 00:07 Monday
「Cool-headed Whale」 Reduces ZEC Short Position, Overall Short Position Loss Increases to $4.05 Million

November 23rd, according to HyperInsight monitoring, the "Calm Down and Short" reduced a $2.6 million ZEC short position, with the overall short position's unrealized loss expanding to $4.05 million. Current positions:· $41.74 million BTC short, with a $1.84 million unrealized loss and a liquidation price of $89,018;· $30.97 million SOL short, with a $1.51 million unrealized loss and a liquidation price of $136.73;· $11.31 million XRP short, with a $0.69 million unrealized loss and a liquidation price of $2.22;· $4.11 million ZEC short, with a $0.01 million unrealized loss and a liquidation price of $684.55.

2025-11-23 23:47 Sunday
Ethereum's 7-day Net Supply Change Increases by 18,019 ETH

November 23rd, according to Ultrasound.money data, Ethereum's net supply in the past 7 days increased by 18,019 ETH. The total Ethereum supply has now reached 121,234,582 ETH, with a supply growth rate of 0.776% per year.

2025-11-23 10:40 Sunday
A whale address shorted 4,574.87 ZEC after the market rebound, while simultaneously entering a 20x long position on BTC.

November 23rd, according to LookIntoChain monitoring, trader 0x152e closed his ZEC long position yesterday, losing $846,000.Just as ZEC was rebounding, the trader reversed his position within the past 40 minutes: shorting 4,574.87 ZEC with 5x leverage (worth $2.66 million).Simultaneously, he established a 20x leveraged BTC long position, with a position size of 367.36 BTC (worth $31.63 million).

2025-11-23 10:33 Sunday
A whale address transferred 8920 ETH to Binance at a loss-making price 1 hour ago

November 23, according to on-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa), address 0x29F...335EF deposited 8920 ETH to Binance in the past hour (approximately $24.85 million). These ETH were withdrawn from the exchange at an average price of $3024 during the period from March 2024 to February 2025. If sold at the current price, it would result in a loss of $2.12 million.

2025-11-23 10:14 Sunday
During Bitcoin's weekly low, the Federal Reserve "turned collectively dovish," with traders and analysts optimistic about a short-term bottom formation.

November 23rd, this week Bitcoin has been continuously falling from its high of $96,000, dropping to a low around $80,600 on Friday, November 21st, at around 20:25 Beijing time. Several Federal Reserve officials spoke that evening, releasing bullish signals and reversing the market's previous belief that there would be "almost no rate cut in December." The earliest speaker appeared almost simultaneously with the $80,600 low point, including:New York Fed President Williams stated that given the current policy, which appears to be tightening, the Fed could still cut rates in the short term. The inflation process has stalled, but it is expected to reach the 2% target by 2027.Fed Governor Milan said that the impact of the non-farm data released on Thursday was "clearly dovish," and that insufficient data does not mean the Fed lacks forecasts.Fed Vice Chair Jefferson also said he believes that the current AI-related U.S. stock rally is unlikely to repeat the collapse of the late 1990s internet bubble, mainly because today's AI-related companies are more mature and have real profit capabilities.Fed's Logan said that the Fed's balance sheet is expected to resume growth soon.After several officials collectively "turned dovish" to reverse the situation, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher, and Bitcoin also started a rebound. The market believes that the probability of a rate cut in December has quickly risen to above 70%. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin's rebound has briefly exceeded $86,000. Several market analysts and traders have stated that the "short-term bottom has been reached," including:Well-known Chinese crypto analyst Banmu Xia stated that $80,500 can be basically confirmed as an important low point of this bear market, and may even be the lowest point. However, the bear market has not ended, and there may still be a "bottoming consolidation" in the future.Crypto trading indicator analysis platform CoinKarma pointed out that the spot trading volume at the closing of the BTC daily chart on November 21st showed near-term maximum volume on multiple exchanges, indicating significant turnover in the market. This kind of "large turnover, volume-supported rebound" structure is a typical short-term bottom signal.Placeholder VC partner Chris Burniske stated that the cryptocurrency market seems to be ready for a rebound until it is bullish enough to make people believe again, followed by the next round of sharp decline.

2025-11-23 10:02 Sunday
Monad Public Sale Successfully Completed, Raising $269 Million in Total, Oversubscribed by 144%

November 23rd, according to official information, Monad's token sale on Coinbase has ended, raising a total of $269 million, oversubscribed by 144%.

2025-11-23 10:01 Sunday
Suspected BitMine Address received 21,537 ETH from FalconX 8 hours ago

November 23rd, according to LookIntoChain monitoring, a new wallet possibly related to BitMine received 21,537 ETH (valued at $59.17 million) from FalconX 8 hours ago.

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